The volume of wood shrinkage into the main melody floor fell by 25.76% year-on-year.
In 2018, China's economy continued its steady development. Macroeconomic data showed that China's GDP in the first quarter of 2018 was 19.88 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.8%. The growth rate was the same as that of the fourth quarter of last year.
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Stable high-speed GDP is an important manifestation of high-quality growth. It is reported that as the overall data is improving, market confidence is also rising. According to the central bank's entrepreneur survey and banker survey, the entrepreneur confidence index and the banker's macroeconomic confidence index continued to rise to historical highs, reaching 74.3% and 81.9% respectively, 12.8 and 17 percentage points higher than last year. .
However, the stabilization of the macroeconomic situation has certainly brought development opportunities to the timber import and export trade. However, for the traditional commodities of timber, the lack of motivation in the domestic market is the focus of current industry professionals. According to the monitoring data of China Timber Price Index, in the first quarter of 2018, the turnover of mahogany, logs, sawn timber, wood-based panels and flooring decreased by 8.75%, 12.7%, 4.94%, 34.12% and 25.76% respectively.
According to industry analysts, wood is a closely related industry, and the weak market transactions are undoubtedly the biggest impact on the market. This is also the main reason for the lack of market demand. Under the tone of “the house is used for living, not for speculationâ€, the overall transaction area of ​​China's real estate in 2017 dropped sharply, down 16.17% year-on-year, and the transaction area of ​​first-tier cities fell sharply by 37%.
After entering 2018, March is considered to be the traditional sales season of the property market, but from the monitoring data, the transaction volume is not satisfactory. In March 2018, the volume of new commercial residential buildings in 50 key cities decreased by 29% from March 2017, and decreased more than in March 2016, and also lower than the March 2015 data.
Among them, the volume of transactions in Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou and Shenzhen fell even more violently. In the first quarter of 2018, the transaction area of ​​commercial housing in the four first-tier cities fell by 33% year-on-year. It is based on the optimistic judgment on the property market, the timber upstream and downstream merchants are cautious in operation, and timber is slow.
Among all kinds of wood, the popular species of redwood, the hedgehog rosewood, is undoubtedly the most concerned about the market. Judging from the investigation of the reporters, despite the news of the customs clearance in Sierra Leone, the price of Hedgehog rosewood has risen by 300-400 yuan / ton, but this still can not reverse the plight of the hedgehog rosewood.
According to business operators, the current stock of Hawthorn rosewood in Jiangmen Xinhui can meet at least half a year's demand. Among them, the medium-displacement quality of Ghana, Sierra Leone and Nigeria is more than one. This is one of the important reasons for the slow consumption of Hedgehog rosewood. ?
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At present, the production area of ​​Sierra Leone 200 / cabinet around 4000-4200 yuan / ton, 160-170 / cabinet reported 4800-5000 yuan / ton, 130-140 / cabinet around 5800-6000 yuan / ton. Origin of Nigeria, about 120 / cabinet (6677) reported 6300-6500 yuan / ton, 130-140 / cabinet (6688) reported 5500-5800 yuan / ton. Gambia 80 / cabinet reported 7300-7400 yuan / ton. The production area of ​​Bissau is at least 8,000 yuan / ton, the market is fast.
Judging from the feedback from the business operators, the key to the high inventory of Hedgehog rosewood is still in demand. It is understood that from the beginning of the year, the downstream furniture factory has limited orders for finished furniture, and the market is cautious and wait-and-see. The material procurement strategy with the purchase has long dominated the market.
We do not mention raw material trading, even for the semi-finished products, from the previous whole cabinet transaction to the current one-pack and one package, which shows the weak market demand. "At present, the price of leg material has dropped from 48 yuan per article in the previous peak period to 30 yuan per article. Even at such a price, the amount of goods received by the manufacturers is not large. This shows that it is not a price issue now, but The problem of market demand." Some merchants say. ?
Take the lead and move the whole body. According to the investigation of the reporter, in the case of the persistent weak market of the hedgehog rosewood, the other related species have also followed suit. Daguo red sandalwood, red sandalwood, Cambodian black rosewood (scientific name Mao Talien), minibus flower (sheathing of ancient Yi Sumu), West Africa, Sumu, etc. have all heard the news that the price is falling.
According to industry analysts, Hedgehog rosewood is the mainstream material of mahogany furniture. At present, in the mahogany furniture market of various species in Guangdong, whether it is price or material, or market acceptance, Hedgehog rosewood ranks first. Its market influence is self-evident. In 2017, the high price of Hedgehog rosewood has brought market opportunities to other alternatives, but now it is precisely because of the difficulties in the market of Hedgehog rosewood, and other alternatives are deadlocked.
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